Trump knows he’s going to lose the 2020 elections


In recent days, the president has come to that grim realization privately, told POLITICO to multiple people close to him, amid a mountain of bad polling and warnings from some of his staunchest allies that he’s on course to be a one-term president. He’s going to lose the elections.

Trump has experienced what many describe as his presidency’s worst stretch, marred by intense condemnation of his reaction to the pandemic coronavirus and civil tension across the country. His rally last weekend in Oklahoma, his first since March, was an embarrassment because he struggled to fill the stadium.

What would have been a straightforward interview with Sean Hannity, Fox News anchor, on Thursday when Trump gave a rambling, non-responsive answer to a simple question about his second term priorities. The usually self-assured president offered a tacit acknowledgement in the same appearance that he might lose when he said that Joe Biden is “will be your president because some people don’t love me, perhaps.”

In the hours that followed the televised speech, concerns swirled inside his inner circle. About whether his heart was really in it when it came to pursuing reelection.

2020 Elections

Trump has time to recover, so he may be changing the political climate. Yet interviews with more than half a dozen people loyal to the president. They described a badly-needed reelection effort. And an inexperienced nominee that repeatedly contradicts himself.

Over the past week, Nunberg pointed to national polls released by CNBC and the New York Times. Siena showing Trump receiving less than 40 percent against Biden in the elections.

When Trump’s figures against erosion hit 35 percentage points in the next two weeks, Nunberg said. “He’s going to face a 400-plus electoral deficit potentially. And the president will have to rethink strongly if he wants to continue running. As the Republican presidential candidate.”

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