Absentee ballots continue to get mailed to North Carolina residents in just 33 days, and a recent poll by CBS News / YouGov shows troubling results for Tar Heel state President Donald Trump.
Joe Biden, the former vice president, has a small 48% to 44% lead over eligible voters. It is the newest poll in North Carolina confirmed by CNN to see Biden leading. A poll carried out by NBC News / Marist College last week gave Biden a 7-point advantage.
To be sure, there are virtually no routes to securing Trump’s presidency in North Carolina without a victory. In fact, a Biden victory in the state could help Democrats come next January in their quest for the Senate majority.
The contest in North Carolina
North Carolina is best as a tilting swing state for the Republican Party. Trump claimed that in 2016 by four percent, and this recent CBS News / YouGov poll is the opposite of that.
In 2012, Barack Obama lost the state by 2 points, as he rose by 4 points nationwide. In reality, Obama in 2008 was the first Democrat in the last 40 years to win Carolina. It has been a narrow victory of 0.3 percent.
If the end outcome happened to match Biden ‘s new polling lead in North Carolina, it will be the strongest Democratic success since southerner Jimmy Carter carried the state in 1976 by 11 percent.
Except this state, no Republican has held the presidency since Dwight Eisenhower did so in 1956.
Biden does not need, to put it another way, to capture the state to take the presidency. It would be gravy to him to win the State. As we noted earlier, the safest route to the presidency for Biden potentially cuts. Through the swing states of the Great Lakes.
Trump hasn’t had that privilege yet. In every state that Hillary Clinton won in 2016, as well as in Georgia, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, Biden actually holds far bigger leads than he does in Carolina. Perhaps he is doing well in Arizona too. Including North Carolina, those states together carry Biden up about 320 electoral votes.